Events Predictions
The Open Prediction Market
Built on Bitcoin Cash using CashTokens and CashConnect, BCH Guru is pioneering a unique, truly peer-to-peer prediction market. No centralised order books or matching engines. Users create their own offers and set their own odds based on what they believe event outcomes will be, matching directly with each other - all secured by on-chain smart contracts on L1 mainchain. This peer-to-peer exchange model is unlike anything else in crypto prediction markets.
What also makes Guru unique is its open oracle model. Instead of relying on a centralised team to create and resolve events, anyone can become an oracle operator by staking their Guru NFTs. Oracles create events, resolve outcomes honestly, and earn fees - building a reputation-driven business on Bitcoin Cash.
A Proven Exchange Model, On-Chain
The peer-to-peer exchange model is one of the most successful in prediction market history - one user creates an offer at their chosen odds, another takes the other side. No bookmaker in the middle. This model has processed billions in volume across global markets for over two decades because it's simple, transparent, and fair.
BCH Guru brings this battle-tested exchange model on-chain for the first time - fully non-custodial on Bitcoin Cash. No centralised operator matching orders behind closed doors. No platform holding your funds. No illusions of free trading hiding slippage, hidden spreads, or unfavourable fills. Just direct peer-to-peer offers, transparent fees, and your keys controlling your funds at all times.
How It Works
Oracle Creates Event
Anyone with staked Guru NFTs can create a prediction event on any topic - sports, elections, crypto prices, anything. They set the outcomes and stake their reputation.
Party A Sets the Odds
A player picks their predicted outcome, sets their offer and preferred odds, and locks their stake into an on-chain smart contract. Their funds stay in the contract - not on a platform.
Party B Takes the Other Side
Another player sees the offer, likes the odds, and takes the opposing position. Their stake also locks into the same smart contract. The prediction is now matched.
Event Happens, Oracle Resolves
When the real-world event concludes, the oracle resolves the outcome on-chain. Their staked NFTs and reputation are on the line - cheat and lose everything.
Winner Gets Paid, Contract Closes
The smart contract pays out the winner automatically. Fees are distributed to the oracle, game fund, and NFT holders. Contract resolves cleanly - nothing left on-chain.
Why Guru Changes Everything
Battle-Tested Peer-to-Peer Model
One party sets the odds, another takes the other side. The same exchange model trusted by the world's largest prediction markets, now on-chain on Bitcoin Cash.
Any Event, Anywhere on Earth
Premier League to local pub trivia, SpaceX launches to Eurovision. Anyone can create and run an event. The world decides what's worth predicting on.
Non-Custodial - Your Keys, Your Funds
Funds stay under your control until matched, then held in an on-chain smart contract. No platform deposits, no bridges - always on L1 mainchain.
NFT-Staked Oracles - A Real Business Model
Stake Guru NFTs to run events and earn the 1% oracle fee. Build trust, attract volume, grow income. Cheat, and you lose your stake.
Permissionless by Design
Built on Bitcoin Cash - open, borderless, and accessible to anyone with an internet connection.
Choose Your Token - $FURU or $BCH
Play with $FURU at 1% fees, with $BCH play coming later. Every fee funds oracles, development, and NFT holder dividends. No stablecoin lock-in.
The Open Oracle
Anyone will be able to run events. Anyone will be able to earn.
Most prediction platforms rely on centralised oracle systems. BCH Guru flips this on its head. Anyone can become an oracle operator by staking Guru NFTs. Create events, resolve them honestly, and earn the 1% oracle fee.
The trust model has three pillars: Reputation - oracles build credibility through honest resolutions, with limits on new oracles to prevent bad actors. Commitment - NFTs must be staked for each event, putting real assets at risk. The number of NFTs staked will play an important role, with full details to follow. Reward - a 1% fee on matched volume incentivizes honest operation. The more trust earned, the more volume attracted, the more income generated.
This means there is no limit to what can be a market. Other platforms only list events their team approves. Guru lets the world decide.
How does the BCH Guru Oracle compare to Polymarket's UMA Oracle?
BCH Guru Oracle
- Anyone can become an oracle operator
- Stake Guru NFTs as collateral for honest resolution
- Earn 1% oracle fee -more trust = more volume = more income
- Reputation built on track record, not gatekeeping
- Wide range of event types with decentralised curation through staking tiers
- A real business model with direct earning incentives
Polymarket (UMA Oracle)
- Relies on UMA token-holder votes
- Platform team approves which events get listed
- Oracle operators don't earn per-event fees
- Limited to events Polymarket chooses to list
- Centralised gatekeeping on market creation
Fee Structure: Transparent & Fair
What are the fees? Choose the token that fits your style!
BCH Guru
$FURU / Native Token, Lower Fees, Free Play
$BCH / For Layer 1 Bitcoin Cash Users
The divs fee rewards Guru NFT holders.
Polymarket
USDC on Polygon / Only Option
"Zero fees" is marketing, not reality. Wide spreads, slippage on thin markets, and large players moving prices against smaller participants mean users routinely lose more than they expect per position. Subsidised fee models are not guaranteed to last.
The Full Breakdown
| Feature | BCH Guru | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Trading Model |
✓ Peer-to-Peer Offers Set odds, stake liquidity, someone takes the other side. The exchange model trusted by some of the biggest peer-to-peer markets on earth. |
✗ Centralised order book with off-chain matching engine operated by Polymarket. |
| Custody |
✓ Non-Custodial Your BCH / FURU stays in your wallet or locked in smart contracts with clearly defined rules. No deposits. No platform holding your funds. |
✗ Funds held in Polygon smart contracts. Requires USDC bridging from Ethereum. |
| Trading Tokens |
✓ $FURU or $BCH Your choice. Play with FURU at 1% fees, or with native BCH at 3% if you prefer the base layer token. |
✗ USDC only. Stablecoin on Polygon. No choice, no native token option. |
| Fees |
✓ 1% – 3% (transparent) Every % has a role to support the ecosystem. |
✗ Advertised as 0%, but real cost is 2-5%+ through spreads, slippage, and large players moving prices. Subsidised fee model with no clear long-term path. |
| Event Creation |
✓ Permissionless Anyone can stake Guru NFTs and create any event. No approval needed. |
✗ Polymarket team decides what markets exist. Curated, centralised listing. |
| Oracle System |
✓ Open NFT-Staked Oracles Run events, earn 1% oracle fee, build reputation. NFT stake ensures honesty. |
UMA Optimistic Oracle. Small group of UMA token voters. Users can't participate in resolution. |
| Blockchain |
✓ Bitcoin Cash (L1) Main-chain security. Lower network fees. No bridges, no L2 fragility. |
Polygon PoS. An Ethereum sidechain with weaker security guarantees and bridge risk. |
| Access |
✓ Permissionless Open and accessible to anyone, anywhere. |
✗ Potential for geo-restrictions. |
| User Experience |
✓ Simple & Direct See an offer, take it. Know your risk and payout before you click. |
Trade outcome tokens as prices fluctuate. Requires understanding of market mechanics. |
| Revenue Model |
✓ Self-Sustaining Fees fund oracles, development, and NFT holder rewards from day one. |
✗ No disclosed revenue model. Long-term sustainability is unclear. |
| On-Chain Footprint |
✓ Clean Smart contract resolves, funds pay out, done. Nothing left behind on-chain. |
✗ Outcome tokens litter the chain indefinitely. Every market creates new token contracts that persist forever, even after resolution. |
The World's Prediction Market Should Belong to The World
No gatekeepers. Permissionless. Just people, predictions, and Bitcoin Cash.
Bitcoin Cash also offers strong privacy potential through its UTXO model and technologies like CashFusion, allowing participants to share their predictions without exposing their identity.
